Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Three Possible Stories Based On the Costco Earnings Statement



Story #1
Compare and contrast with how Sam’s Club and BJ’s Wholesale are doing.  Especially in area of membership as Costco seems to be doing well there.

Story #2
Dive into Costco’s operating costs…if profit is up 27%, but revenue is only up 14%, then it must be doing something right on the costs side of things.  What is it they’re doing?

Story #3
How much does the average person spend at Costco?  How often does the average person go to Costco?  Does Costco supplement, or replace, the more “traditional” supermarket for most customers?   Once the answers to these questions have been obtained, how is this reflected in the earnings statement?

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Three Earnings Stories



Earnings Story #1: Costco
            Costco Wholesale Corporation finished its fiscal year strong with its largest profit increase of the past 12 months.
The Washington-based membership warehouse club last week reported a 27% increase in fourth-quarter profit to $609 million from a year earlier.  Revenue grew 14% to $32.2 billion.
The company’s fourth-quarter success was powered in part by its continued growth in revenue generated by Membership fees.  Membership fees saw a 17% increase from last year, while revenue generated from sales saw a 14% increase over the same time period.
“In terms of Membership, we continue to benefit from strong renewal rates rounding up to 90% [in] U.S. and Canada and worldwide, 86%,” said Costco’s Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, and Director Richard A. Galanti in an earnings call held a week before the release of the company’s annual report.  “We continue to experience increasing penetration of the executive membership,” he added.
Executive membership is Costco’s highest membership level, according to the company’s website, and costs $110 and must be renewed annually.  Unlike the company’s Gold Star membership ($55), Executive membership includes additional savings, and a “household card,” which is available to any member’s spouse or immediate family member over the age of 18.
Costco opened in Seattle in 1983, and has grown to include warehouse locations across the world.
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Costco Quarter Four Earnings/Revenue
                        Q4 2012                      Q4 2011
Earnings:        609m                           478m               = 131/478 = 27% increase
Revenue:
Sales:               31,524                         27,588
Membership:   694                              590
Total:               32,218                         28,178             = 4040/28178 = 14% increase

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Earnings Story #2: Target
            Target Corporation reported no growth in second-quarter profit last August, staying steady at $704 million in earnings.
            The Minneapolis, Minnesota based retailer did report a 3% increase in revenue from a year earlier, rising from $16.2 billion to $16.7 billion.
            A 4% rise in the cost of sales, or, the cost of producing its products, as well as rises in selling, general, and administrative expenses helped account for the lack of profit growth despite the bump in revenue.
             The company’s 3% revenue growth is entirely attributable to a nearly 4% growth in sales, as the retailer experienced a 0.5% decrease in revenues from Target credit cards from a year earlier.
            It’s no surprise then that Target announced this week it would be selling its credit card portfolio to TD Bank Group at “face value,” according to a report in Minneapolis’ “Star Tribune” newspaper.
            “There’s no question the portfolio is performing well,” Terry Scully, Target’s president of financial and retail services, told the paper.  “But we are a retailer.”
            The company’s second-quarter sales growth confirms that retail is in fact where Target’s strength resides.
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Target Quarter Two Earnings/Revenue
Q2 2012                      Q2 2011
Earnings:        704m                           704m               = 0/704 = 0% increase
Revenue:         16,779m                      16,249m          = 534/16,240 = 3% increase
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Earnings Story #3: McDonald’s
            McDonald’s Corporation’s second-quarter earnings dropped 4.5% to $1.3 billion, from a year earlier, according to the company’s quarterly report released last August.  Revenue grew 0.2% to $6.9 billion for the same period.
            Revenue growth for the fast food giant is attributable to revenue generated by its franchised restaurants, which saw a 1.6% gain from a year earlier.  Revenue generated from sales by company operated restaurants actually fell 0.5%.
            “We view ourselves primarily as a franchisor,” the company wrote in its quarterly report, “and believe franchising is important to delivering great, locally-relevant customer experiences and driving profitability.”
            Revenues collected from franchised restaurants include rent and royalties, according to the report.
            A rise in McDonald’s operating costs and expenses are partly to blame for the dip in earnings for the quarter.  Tellingly, there was a 5% increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses, to $617 million from a year earlier.
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McDonald’s Quarter Two Earnings/Revenue
Q2 2012                      Q2 2011
Earnings:        1,347.0m                     1,410.2m         = 63.2/1,410.2 = 4.5% decrease
Revenue:         6915.9m                      6905.4m          = 10.5/6905.4 = 0.2% increase